Saturday, January 11, 2020

Iran's shooting down of the airliner was probably unintentional

Back in 1988 a US ship accidentally shot down an Iranian airliner, Iran Air flight 655.

The crew made an honest mistake given that the Iranians had been shooting at the USS Vincennes's helicopter, and that the plane didn't respond to multiple attempts to contact it.

Post event analysis concluded that the crew was in the mindset of Iran attacking it, not surprising given that Iranian speedboats had fired warning shots at a US helicopter, and that they honestly thought that the airliner was an Iranian F-14 coming to attack them.

The shooting down of an Ukraine airliner by the Iranians probably was similar in nature.  While it's unlikely that the Iranian missile batteries crew was as well trained as the Americans were or that it had the ability to try and contact the airliner it's also unlikely that Iran would have any reason for deliberately shooting down a plane full of Ukrainians and Canadians.

Interestingly in both cases however it was Iran, not the US, which created the perception of danger that led to the mistakes; something Democrats are desperately denying since they say that killing Soleimani was bad but Soleimani killing Americans and besieging our embassy, an act of war, weren't that bad.

That the Iranians lied about shooting down the plane isn't surprising; that's what bad people do, look at Bill Clinton lying about sexually harassing subordinates.  It doesn't mean that the shoot down was intentional.

The take away of course should be that no sane person should ever fly to Iran and that the Iranian fascist regime will lie about anything until the weight of evidence is undeniable.

Something to keep in mind when someone says we should trust the Iranians when they say that they were following the nuclear accords while refusing inspection of any site they declared to be military in nature.

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