Saturday, June 27, 2020

How many people have really died from the China virus/COVID19?

According to the CDC about 122,000, not the 122 million Joe Biden claimed, Americans have died from coronavirus.

The problem is that even the CDC admits that there may be serious over counting going on.

Not only are healthcare providers incentivized to list deaths as due to COVID19--they get more medicare money if that's the case--but any death where the virus is present counts as a China virus death.

For example in Colorado a man was found dead in a park with a blood alcohol level of 0.55% and his death was declared to be due to coronavirus.  That blood alcohol level is above the lethal dose and the coroner certified the case of death as due to alcohol poisoning. But then magically the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environmental categorized the death as due to COVID19.

But that's not an isolated case. The problem is that most of the people who are dying are old and they have many other health issues.  To simplify things what's being done is that if someone has the virus when they die that's listed as their cause of death even though it may not have killed them.

For example in San Diego an investigation into 194 COVID19 "deaths" fond that only 6 could be clearly shown to be due to the virus.  So as of early may out of a population of about 3.3 million people we know of only 6 coronavirus deaths.

The CDC says that of the people listed as dying from COVID19, the 122,000 mentioned above, only 7% listed only COVID19 as a cause of death. On average in addition to COVID19 there were 2.5 other conditions or causes.

Now that doesn't mean that only 8,540 Americans have died from COVID19.  For example someone who was going to die in a few months from lung cancer could have died sooner due to COVID19.  But it's also true that many if not most of that 93% who had multiple conditions died from those the conditions but happened to have COVID19 at the time they died.

So does this mean we should go out rioting and protesting while ignoring social distancing and not wearing masks?  No.

But it does mean that we need some real science, not Democrats lying to keep the country shut down until the election, to guide public policy.

Here's the trend of deaths in America using the very liberal definitions we've been discussing:

It's very clear that deaths are going down with episodic hiccups along the way.

This chart is why Democrats have shifted from talking about deaths to talking about cases.

The number of cases is going up, in part due to more testing, but the deaths are going down.  That's good. We want about 1/3 to 1/2 of the country to have had the disease so that we develop herd immunity.  But of course we don't want lots of people dying.  That we're seeing more cases with decreasing deaths means the "right" people are catching the disease; namely young healthy folk who are unlikely to die as a result.

It's smart and considerate to wear a mask in public.

It's smart and considerate to practice social distancing.

It's smart and considerate to provide special provisions, such as designated shopping hours, for people at high risk.

But if you're young and healthy there's no reason to panic and there is no reason you should be forced by the government to stay locked up and out of work.

Democrats want you poor and afraid so you'll vote for Joe Biden.

But remember if Joe had had his way there would have been no early travel restrictions on China and more Americans would have died.

Similarly it's Democrat Governor Cuomo in New York who ordered nursing homes to take patients with China virus, which Cuomo calls the "European Virus", where as the Republican Governor of Florida kept those patients in hospitals until they were no longer contagious.

Contrary to the lies told by the #FakeNews media things would have been much worse if Democrats had been in charge.

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