Thursday, March 26, 2020

Don't panic: CDC death rates show that even the oldest people are 9 times more likely to live than die from coronavirus

The latest CDC report covering February 12 to March 16 shows the following mortality rates by age group:

  • 0 percent for those aged 0 to 19 (an age group that accounted for 5 percent of those included in the study, or 123 out of 2,449)
  • 0.1 percent for those aged 20 to 44 (an age group that accounted for 29 percent of those included in the study, or 705 out of 2,449)
  • 0.5 percent for those aged 45 to 54 (an age group that accounted for 18 percent of those included in the study, or 429 out of 2,449)
  • 1.4 percent for those aged 55 to 64 (an age group that accounted for 18 percent of those included in the study, or 429 out of 2,449)
  • 2.7 percent of those aged 65 to 74 (an age group that accounted for 16 percent of those included in the study, or 409 out of 2,449)
  • 4.3 percent of those aged 75 to 84 (an age group that accounted for 8 percent of those included in the study, or 210 out of 2,449)
  • 10.4 percent of those aged 85 and older (an age group that accounted for 6 percent of those included in the study, or 144 out of 2,449)
These are worse than the flu for Americans above 44 years of age but they're still very small.

For example for people who are 54 years old who get the virus, and not all people will get the virus, 5 out of every 1000 people will die. That means a typical 54 year old is nearly 200 times more likely to live than die if they get the virus.

Even the oldest people over 85 are 9 times more likely to live than die if they get the disease.

The bottom line is that with people are working hard to find vaccines and cures slowing down the immediate spread of the virus will drive down those numbers even more.

So with America's current policies we're quite likely to reduce the impact of the virus.

Don't listen to Democrat politicians or the #FakeNews media; we will survive this so long as we don't panic.

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