Wednesday, September 9, 2020

The Sturgis Motorcyle Rally caused 260 not 250,000 new China virus cases

The #FakeNews media is reporting that the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally caused 250,000 new COVID19 cases and cost us $12.2 billion.

The first thing to note is that the same media has never talked about the number of cases that resulted from the riots and protests.  In fact while the #FakeNews media has condemned Sturgis from the get go they've also actually encouraged people to go to protests and riots where social distancing wasn't followed at all.

However, as usual, they're lying to us.  As of 9/9/2020 only 260 China virus cases have been linked to Sturgis.

How did the liars in the media get to the 250,000 number? 

The somehow got cellphone data, albeit anonymized, to track where people went after Sturgis. They then assumed that new cases in places where Sturgis attendees went to were all due to Sturgis. 

Putting aside the serious privacy issue associated with random researchers getting data which could be tracked to individuals by analyzing where the cellphones went it's clear that there is no scientific basis to assume that every person who left Sturgis spread the disease or that all of the increase in cases is due to people from Sturgis.

The $12.2 billion number is similarly bogus since the study assumed each case cost $46,000. Given that most cases don't cost anything, the people aren't hospitalized, that's absurd.

Of course Democrats are using this study, which hasn't been peer reviewed, to attack Trump despite the fact that if we are to believe the study then the riots and protests which these same Democrats have been endorsing must have caused far more cases.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

> The $12.2 billion number is similarly bogus since the study assumed each case cost $46,000. Given that most cases don't cost anything, the people aren't hospitalized, that's absurd.

See if you actually read the paper you'd know how they got the dollar amounts. You'd have found a citation that goes into detail how it is computed. And the average is a very poor measure here. The paper values deaths at $11 million and serious cases that don't result in hospitalization at around $30k. They base these numbers on well established literature. There is a tower of science here that you are fighting.

But you just read right-wing media and repost whatever you see that agrees with your world-view. And how can we judge the media you consume? Well it appears even your source couldn't be bothered to read the paper to see how this monetary figure was arrived at.